The Democrats have eight candidates for their four slots at the debate in Las Vegas in June: Elizabeth Warren, Kamala Harris, Kirsten Gillibrand, Amy Klobuchar, Bernie Sanders, Sherrod Brown, Cory Booker and Joe Biden.
In the Iowa caucuses, which were held on Feb. 3, each candidate took either 22 percent or 27 percent of the vote. It’s a majority that would leave them all on the debate stage. Then again, a caucus win also guarantees the last spot on the debate stage, which will be held in New Hampshire on Feb. 11.
The candidates are campaigning hard in Nevada ahead of the caucuses, and Democratic officials are warning of the possibility of a flood of people voting from absentees. In addition, while the candidates are likely to be a day or two ahead of their rivals on Twitter, a large number of voters may wait until the last minute to log on.
But their combined efforts should leave them roughly on equal footing with the race as a whole. Only two-thirds of likely Democratic caucus-goers actually showed up in Iowa, but when you combine the numbers of those who didn’t vote in the Hawkeye State with those who registered by absentee ballot and the new voters arriving by phone, almost 60 percent of likely voters will be in Nevada.
You can also track the results of the caucus across the country from New Hampshire to California.