Using data from multiple countries around the world, a new model estimates the activity of the novel coronavirus and the number of cases who have sought treatment.

Three scientists based at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine have modeled the cases and deaths connected to the novel coronavirus, better known as NCoV. In a report published on Thursday in the journal, Science, they give an account of the case control, or true number, of cases and how health officials across the globe are tracking the virus as it continues to spread.

NCoV is not Ebola, but is a new coronavirus, first isolated in June last year in Saudi Arabia. This bacterial respiratory disease is not in any particular group of viruses and is thought to be transmitted primarily through close contact with the respiratory droplets of infected people. It has not been shown to be transmissible by surface or airborne means. So far, the confirmed cases in the Middle East have been spread across the Middle East and Europe, mainly England and France.

NCoV is a member of the coronavirus family which includes the common cold, SARS and the current subtype of avian flu, H5N1.

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